SAMPLING
Research involves the collection of data
to obtain insight and knowledge into the needs and wants of any problem
or matter under consideration such as market research. In nearly all cases, it
would be very costly and time-consuming to collect data from the entire population
of a market. Accordingly, in market research, extensive use is made of sampling
from which, through careful design and analysis, Marketers can draw information
about the market.
Sampling
theory has helped in reducing the cost and time of business and social
research. Efficient sampling designs have been developed with confidence limits
and class intervals. The study of sampling methods is not essential for
researchers, but the user of research should also have understanding about the
value and limitations of sample data.
Implications
of Sample data:
A sample
is a representation of the universe or population and if drawn on random basis
can provide accurate data about universe. Majority of research studies, today,
collect data through samples. To keep the cost, time and quality of research
under control, reliable sampling designs are prepared.
Sample
design must be such that data analysis conducted on the basis of a given
sampling technique, proves helpful in achieving the objectives of the research
project or study. When data is collected through ‘sample’ as opposed to census,
the user of the data should know the following implications:
1.
Sampling error will be there.
2.
Sampling errors can be calculated from the summary
information or means value, percentages and proportions or any other type of
similar calculations.
3.
‘Sampling error’ provides manager/ administrator
additional information. This in turn can sharpen the judgment of the
intelligent user of sample data.
4.
Size of sampling error and size of sample are
inversely related. Also it should mention that increase in the size of sample
leads to increase of cost.
5.
Data collected from different types sampling designs
would not bring exactly the same analytical conclusion. Some sample designs,
within almost the same cost and time would bring higher degree of accuracy and
reliability, because of better knowledge of the researcher-cum-statistician in
designing probability sample. In exceptional cases even in non-probability
sample design, experts would improve the efficiency of sampling plans.
6.
The theory of sampling is well advanced today. The
use of computers is helping statisticians, analytical expert and user of
managerial information in making greater use of sampling research.
Important
characteristics of Sampling and Sample data:
1.
A Sample is a subset of a total population and
sampling data is taken for the purpose of learning more about the population in
less time and at lower cost. Because the sole purpose of sampling is to know
about the characteristics of a population.
2.
If sampling is done carefully, it can provide good
knowledge of universe. The size of sample should be adequate and the sample
design should reflect the traits of the population.
3.
Social scientist must recognize the risk associated
with the sampling along with the merits of sampling.
4.
In many business situations, it is either impractical
or impossible to examine the entire population; sample information is the only
choice.
5.
The analysis of a sample can also be much more than
it would be practical, if the entire population were questions about its
relevant characteristics.
6.
An adequate degree of precision is required for
satisfactory conclusion in making business decision on the basis of sample.
7.
It should be clear to managers that perfect
information is rare and cannot be obtained within reasonable time. However, the
management should insist on sample size, which would be adequate for
decision-making. This implies that management seeks the greatest possible
accuracy.
8.
Sufficient knowledge about the population or universe
is essential in drawing sample on random basis. Important factors must be
considered when sampling is to be carried out from population.
9.
The population in which management is interested is
the one, which would provide the desired data. The researcher should be clear
as to who are the persons, what are their qualification and
characteristics.
Once this is clear, only
then sample can be drawn to represent the particular population, which becomes
universe for the purpose of research study.
Random
Sampling:
There are two ways of
selecting a sample, either random or non-random basis. Random sample can be
stratified, systematic or area sample. In probability sampling each element
that makes up the population should have a known chance of being selected as
part of sample. Special conditions in the selection of random sample units:
1.
Each item in the population has an equal chance of
being selected and the probability of being selected can be determined.
2.
Each sample combination has an equal probability of
occurrence.
Non-Random
Sample:
In the contrast of random
sampling, non-random sampling and the procedure to be included in the in the
sample are not determined by chance. Their selection is based on the choice or
judgment of the interviewers. Those units are selected which the field worker
feels would serve as a good representative sample.
Sampling design is
concerned with method of sampling and the procedure to be adopted in selecting
sample-units from universe, which are basic source of data. Sampling
units may be households, head of the family, housewife, business organization
and any individual constitution the universe under study.
The sampling units can be
drawn on random/probability or on non-random basis.
The most significant
difference between the two is that statistical inference can be drawn only from
probability sampling methods. Probability sampling methods have been developed
on the basis of a number of theories and concepts of mathematics and
statistics.
Statistical inference is
used to infer the characteristics of the universe from the data collected from
the sample units, which are representative of universe. Whenever we apply
random sample techniques for drawing conclusions or generalization, we have to
calculate standard error and state confidence limits. This is done to make our
statements meaningful in risk-involving situations
Sample Design
Sample design covers the method of selection, the sample
structure and plans for analyzing and interpreting the results. Sample designs
can vary from simple to complex and depend on the type of information required
and the way the sample is selected.
Sample design affects the size of the sample and the way in
which analysis is carried out. In simple terms the more precision the market
researcher requires, the more complex will be the design and the larger the
sample size.
The sample design may make use of the characteristics of the
overall market population, but it does not have to be proportionally
representative. It may be necessary to draw a larger sample than would be
expected from some parts of the population; for example, to select more from a
minority grouping to ensure that sufficient data is obtained for analysis on
such groups.
Many sample designs are built around the concept of random
selection. This permits justifiable inference from the sample to the
population, at quantified levels of precision. Random selection also helps
guard against sample bias in a way that selecting by judgment or convenience
cannot.
Defining the Population
The first step in good sample design is to ensure that the
specification of the target population is as clear and complete as possible to
ensure that all elements within the population are represented. The target
population is sampled using a sampling frame. Often the units in the
population can be identified by existing information; for example, pay-rolls,
company lists, government registers etc. A sampling frame could also be
geographical; for example postcodes have become a well-used means of selecting
a sample.
Sample Size
For any sample design deciding upon the appropriate sample
size will depend on several key factors
(1) No estimate
taken from a sample is expected to be exact: Any assumptions about the overall
population based on the results of a sample will have an attached margin of error.
(2) To lower the
margin of error usually requires a larger sample size. The amount of variability in
the population (i.e. the range of values or opinions) will also affect accuracy
and therefore the size of sample.
(3) The confidence
level is the likelihood that the results obtained from the sample lie within a
required precision. The higher the confidence level, more it is certain to wish to be that
the results are not atypical. Statisticians often use a 95 per cent confidence level to provide strong conclusions.
(4) Population size
does not normally affect sample size. In fact the larger the population sizes the lower the proportion
of that population that needs to be sampled to be
representative. It is only when the proposed sample size is more than 5 per
cent of the population that the population size becomes part of the formulae to
calculate the sample size.
Simple Random Sample
Simple random sample is the
simplest for of probability sampling. Since all probability samples must
provide a known nonzero chance of selection for each population element, the
simple random sample is considered a special case in which each population
element has a known and equal chance of selection.
Simple random sample is often impractical, as it
requires a population list that is often not available. The design may also be
wasteful because it fails to use all the information about a population. This
type of sampling is also time and money bound. So it is only feasible where
there is a complete list of population is available and enough time and money
is available to carry forward the case study on the basis of Simple Random
Sampling technique.
Cluster Sample
The whole population can be
divided into groups of elements with some groups randomly selected for study.
This type of sampling is called Cluster Sampling. It provides an unbiased
estimate of population parameters. When we need economic efficiency (time and
money) a Cluster Sample is better choose than Simple Random Sample. Also in
case of frequent unavailability of practical sampling frame for individual
elements.
Although the statistical
efficiency for cluster samples is usually lower than for simple random samples
as clusters are usually homogenous, but the economic efficiency is greater
enough to overcome this weakness. So the net efficiency result from a trade-off
between economic and statistical factors. It may take 690 interviews with a
cluster design to give the same precision as 424 simple random interviews, yet
the cost may be double on interviewing process of simple random sample design.
Stratified Sample
Most populations can be segregated
into several mutually exclusive subpopulations, or strata. The process by which
the sample is constrained to include elements form each of the segments is
called stratified random sampling. With the ideal stratification, the
subpopulation groups are mutually exclusive. Also each stratum is homogeneous
internally and heterogeneous with other strata. A simple random sample is taken
after dividing population into different groups. It is choose of the
researchers due to increased sample’s statistical efficiency and also its
characteristic to provide adequate data for analyzing the various
subpopulations within a huge size population.
It is useful when researchers are
interested to study characteristics of certain population subgroups. When
different methods of data collection are applied in different parts of
population it is best choice is stratified sampling. If the subgroup
information correlate the variable under consideration it is good to do
stratified sampling otherwise a simple random sample is a better choice.
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